Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. However, per his stats, it would not be surprising if he is inducted in his first year of eligibility. For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing-and-miss stuff and faded to a 17.8 percent strikeout rate. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. {* backButton *} According to tracking done by Baseball Reference he faced mostly Double A hitters. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. Theyll defer. Drew move to Atlanta. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. Please logout and login again. But he didnt become a full-time starter until his age-24 season, and hes now pitched for a quarter of the American League teams. When it comes down to it, Sabathia may find himself in a logjam of other similar pitchers, and if he does get in, it may take him some time. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. As a result, Ive chosen not to include him on this article. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. The best pitcher in MLB? The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Between that, his three Cy Youngs, and eight All-Star appearances, hes probably punched his ticket even before getting to 200 wins (hes at 187). His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. Wainwright, however, has a much more finite timetablehe has announced that he is retiring. Will this happen? I wouldnt expect Wainwright to be at his best at this stage. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Were not concerned. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. While wins arent everything, Ive chosen to list them chronologically by career win total as a benchmark of evaluation. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright may have ended a solid career. At least not for starting pitchers. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. But at least it wont be historically egregious. Wainwright, 40, who has played for the Cardinals since reaching the majors in 2005, is a three-time All-Star and twice led the National League in wins (2009 and 2013). Astros @ Cardinals. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. I sincerely hope Flaherty is fine and that theres no reason for concern. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to the All-Star game three times. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). When Wainwright has pitched, hes been traditionally one of the better pitchers in the league, having won 20 games twice, 19 games on two other occasions, and led the league twice. Adam's parents had a rocky marriage, and they split up when he was around seven years old. However, not all stories have happy endings. He went 17-7 with 174 strikeouts and a 3.05 ERA in 32 starts spanning 206 1/3 innings the third-highest total in the majors. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. The slugger hit .274 with 32 homers and 97 RBIs in 160 games last year. Jos Ramirez, third base (32.8 career | 31.5 Peak | 32.1 JAWS, +4.0 JAWS). Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Your email address will not be published. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. The starting pitcher, who will enter his 19th season with the Cards, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. Privacy Policy Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. 2020 has given us many. Its early in spring training. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. Adam Wainwright will make history as he will become the seventh pitcher in St. Louis Cardinals history to start a game after his 41st birthday. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. Can Adam Wainwright join St. Louis Cardinals teammates in Hall of Fame? Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. Be the first one to comment on this story. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. 5th stage: 60-day IL. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. Adam Wainwright has the second-most WAR of any Cardinals pitcher all-time (44.5). Look at that. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Hes still going strong, as hes tops in the NL in wins (8) in 2017. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Madison Bumgarner is still just 27 years old, but hes already etched his name into baseball lore as one of the greatest big-game pitchers of all-time. 1st stage: All good. While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. Updated: Friday, March 3, 2023 11:11 PM ET, Park Factors All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. FASTBALLS JET ACROSS the baseball atmosphere in this era, booming into catchers' mitts at 100 mph or faster, and amid that sound of speed, there is Adam Wainwright's curveball. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). The greatest lineups ever? Rile people up.. Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Even if he does that, hes well short of the JAWS standard or even the 55.7 career WAR of David Ortiz, plus he has the stigma of his 2013 PED suspension to overcome. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Godspeed, Waino. And right now, he simply isnt there. The Cardinals are calm. Wainwright has certainly had a long and successful career, but has it been enough to warrant enshirement in the Hall of Fame? His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Arizona Diamondbacks. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. This is the first time since 2010 that all three are in . Aroldis Chapman (18.5 WAR | 19.9 WPA | 12.0 WPA/LI | 16.8 R-JAWS, +0.6 R-JAWS). Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. (approx 1 - 2 per week). "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Even having covered the progress of 17 mid- and late-career players in these two installments, there are a handful who have posted JAWS gains that would fit on the leaderboards and about whom people have questions regarding their Hall progress. He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. The performance was unsurprisingly unsustainable. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. Winnowing the 180/2,000/3.40/350/2,300 field down to just wild card-era pitchers makes for an even more exclusive group: Wainwright, Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw, Clemens plus Hall of Famers Greg Maddux, Randy Johnson, Roy Halladay and Pedro Martinez. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. Rolen, a member of the Cardinals Hall of Fame, was welcomed to the 'family' of Hall of Famers during an event and press conference Feb. 28, 2023 in Cooperstown, N.Y. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. Its Wainwrights final MLB season before retirement, and (mostly) anything goes. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. March 2, 2023 | 00:00:10. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. The contact rate against him on pitches in the strike zone last season 91 percent was the highest against him during his 17-season MLB career. It was almost a storybook season for the St. Louis Cardinals as club legends Adam Wainwright, Albert Pujols, and Yadier Molina were reunited and looked primed for a deep postseason run. I highly doubt it. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Ive lost track. Your email address will not be published. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. Adam Wainwrights hybrid JAWS of 41.6 is a fair amount behind that of Dwight Gooden, and closing a 6.4 point gap is going to be a tall order. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukees Luis Urias in the fourth inning. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. Please contact us. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. NeverSober1900. Clayton Kershaw is this generations Sandy Koufax; he could retire right now and hed make the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. Eleven of the sixty-five are below Wainwright in terms of Hybrid JAWS. Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? All rights reserved. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder. . Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. Don't miss out - sign up for our newsletters! Your existing password has not been changed. With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case.
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